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☆ Nobel Prize-winning economist Joseph Stiglitz shares the playbook he thinks Trump will use to stay in power if he wins a second term
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-09 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

If former President Donald Trump wins a second term in the November election, expect him to try to stay in power beyond his allotted four years, says Nobel Prize-winning economist Joseph Stiglitz. Right now, a second Trump term is a real possibility. AdvertisementInstead, Trump is more likely to declare a state of emergency, Stiglitz said, in an attempt to delay or cancel elections. The executive branch has no power to move the date of elections, according to the National Constitution Center. AdvertisementChanging an election date via Congress would need the approval of both the Senate and the House of Representatives, and the two chambers would have to come up with a new election date, per the National Constitution Center.

Persons: Donald Trump, Joseph Stiglitz, Putin, Orbán, Bolsonaro, Stiglitz, Trump, Joe Biden, Brad Raffensperger, Mike Pence, I'm, Pence, Ronald Reagan Organizations: Service, Business, Trump, RealClearPolitics, Georgia, Capitol, Republican Senate, Congress, National Constitution Center, Senate, Representatives, Constitution Center, Congressional Research Service, CRS, :, Good Society Locations: Ohio

☆ Polls Missing US Economy's Strength Will Make the Next Recession Worse
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-12 | by ( George Pearkes | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +12 min

By underweighting the experience of certain groups — especially lower-income or frontline workers — policymakers could learn the wrong lessons from the post-pandemic economy. The Great DivergenceIf you ask Americans how the economy is doing, the general sentiment can be summed up in one word: bad. Similarly, the Conference Board's consumer confidence data isn't quite at its post-Great Recession lows, but it's far below its 2017-19 average. The ASEC data uses a very large sample to provide the best possible insight into households' economic well-being, with more than 75,000 households participating. Similarly, the focus on the prospect of a recession soared, even outdoing the period in 2020 when the economy was actually in a recession.

Persons: it's, —, Pew Organizations: University of, Conference, Labor Statistics, Government, Bureau of Labor Statistics, NFL, Minnesota Vikings, Green Bay Packers, Chicago Bears, BLS, Census, Federal Locations: telemarketers, nonresponses

Trump, according to aggregates of national opinion polls, holds about a 50-percentage-point lead over her, with Florida Governor Ron DeSantis also in the mix. Trump also has large leads in early Republican nominating states such as Iowa and New Hampshire. The polls show her tied with DeSantis in Iowa and surpassing him in New Hampshire. Should Haley's rise continue, she would likely face a full onslaught of attacks from the Trump campaign, pro-Trump social media influencers, and related super PAC spending groups. A Trump spokesperson did not respond to questions about whether the campaign would soon turn its attention to Haley.

Persons: Nikki Haley, Adrienne Arsht, Mike Segar, Donald Trump, Haley, Kyle Kondik, Trump, Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, Whit Ayres, Ayres, Joe Biden's, Haley's, Betsy Ankney, Nikki, Olivia Perez, HALEY Trump's, Koch, James Oliphant, Alexandra Ulmer, Ross Colvin, Grant McCool Organizations: South Carolina, Republican, U.S, NBC News, Adrienne, Adrienne Arsht Center, Performing Arts, REUTERS, Rights, Trump, University of Virginia Center for Politics, Florida Governor, DeSantis, TRUMP, Thomson Locations: Miami , Florida, U.S, Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina, California, Texas, South, Tuscaloosa , Alabama

☆ Josh Hawley’s Unoriginal Constitution
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-07 | by ( The Editorial Board | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

Journal Editorial Report: Pressure mounts on the Jewish state to 'pause.' Images: AP/Getty Images Composite: Mark KellySince the Supreme Court unleashed independent political spending in 2010’s Citizens United v. FEC, progressives have forecast the ruin of American politics by corporate spending. More than a decade on, elections are competitive and no doom has come to pass, but the same false alarm is now making the rounds on the political right. Missouri Republican Sen. Josh Hawley has introduced legislation to reverse Citizens United as a way to punish corporations whose progressive politics he dislikes. He told RealClearPolitics that his “goal is to get corporate money out of our politics,” and to stop companies from “controlling our elections.”

Persons: Mark Kelly, Missouri Republican Sen, Josh Hawley, RealClearPolitics, ” Organizations: FEC, Missouri Republican Locations: Missouri

☆ Voters' grim economic outlook helps boost Trump in new battleground poll
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-06 | by ( Emma Kinery | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The margins were between 4 and 10 percentage points, with a survey sampling error of between 4.4 and 4.8 points per state. The only state where voters said they would choose Biden over Trump was Wisconsin, where the president led the Republican front-runner by 2 points, within the margin of error. During the 2020 election, Biden won all six of these battleground states, albeit some by very slim margins. These issues will be top of mind for voters next year; 57% of respondents said economic issues would be the most important factor in their vote. The survey points to troubling signs ahead for the Biden reelection campaign.

Persons: Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Trump, Biden, Barack Obama's Organizations: Americas, Economic Prosperity, ’, The New York Times, Siena College, Trump, Republican, Biden Locations: Washington , U.S, U.S, Michigan , Pennsylvania, Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, Wisconsin

Democratic Presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. speaks during The World Values Network's Presidential Candidate Series that discusses fighting antisemitism and championing Israel, in New York City, U.S., July 25, 2023. Kennedy's deep-pocketed backers and famous name, combined with a lack of broad enthusiasm for Biden and Trump, could help him take votes from their respective sides. "It could certainly siphon some votes from Trump, but it will certainly hurt Biden much more," said Republican strategist Ford O'Connell, who argued that Trump voters were more enthusiastic than Biden's. HIGH FAVORABILITY, TRUMP DONORKennedy has higher favorability ratings than either Trump or Biden, Reuters/Ipsos polling from September shows, with 51% of respondents having a favorable view of him compared to 45% for Biden and 40% for Trump. At 69, Kennedy might have an appeal to Americans looking for a younger candidate than Biden, 80, and Trump, 77.

Persons: Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Amr Alfiky, Democrat Joe Biden, Republican Donald Trump, Kennedy, Biden, Trump, Donald Trump’s, Matt Bennett, FiveThirtyEight, Ford O'Connell, Trump's, Paul Offit, George W, Bush, Ipsos, Cheryl Hines, Gavin de Becker, Timothy Mellon, Peter Daou, Joe Manchin, Joe Lieberman, Al Gore's, ProPublica, Lieberman, Jeff Mason, Heather Timmons, Lisa Shumaker, Grant McCool Organizations: Democratic, REUTERS, Rights, Democrat, Republican, Republicans, Trump, Independent, Biden, Health Defense, Children's, White House, Reuters, HIGH, TRUMP, RealClearPolitics, Mellon, America, Cornell West, Twitter, U.S, Thomson Locations: Israel, New York City, U.S, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Georgia, Arizona, American Samoa, West Virginia

☆ Trump says Chris Christie 'is eating right now' and tells audience not to call the former governor a 'fat pig'
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-08 | by ( Bryan Metzger | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Trump then told the audience not to call Christie a "fat pig." "Christie, he's eating right now, he can't be bothered," Trump remarked during a lengthy commentary about the state of polling in the 2024 presidential campaign so far. He then admonished members of the audience not to call Christie a "fat pig" — though it was unclear if anyone had. "Sir, please do not call him a fat pig," said Trump, pointing towards the audience in Windham. A spokesperson for Christie's presidential campaign did not immediately respond to Insider's request for comment.

Persons: Donald Trump, Chris Christie's, Trump, Christie, he's, we're Organizations: NJ, Service, New, New Jersey Gov, GOP, Trump Locations: New Hampshire, Wall, Silicon, New Jersey, Windham

☆ Chris Christie Prosecutes the Political Case Against Trump
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-05 | by ( Kyle Peterson | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

Images: Jane Rosenberg/Reuters/AP Composite: Mark KellyChris Christie has a theory for how to defeat Donald Trump: Attack him. If that sounds like something out of “Elections for Dummies,” it remains mostly untested in the 2024 Republican contest, which Mr. Trump leads with 53% support, according to Friday’s RealClearPolitics average. “Nobody else in this race is willing to take him on,” Mr. Christie says. “They all are either playing for a position in a potential Trump cabinet, or they just don’t have the ability to do it. And there’s no way to beat this guy unless you beat him.”

Persons: Jack Smith's, Jane Rosenberg, Mark Kelly Chris Christie, Donald Trump, Trump, Mr, Christie, “, ” Organizations: U.S, Democratic, AP, Republican, Trump

☆ Trump should end his campaign and drop out now, says at least one GOP presidential candidate
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-09 | by ( Jake Swearingen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

GOP presidential candidate Asa Hutchinson, however, called on Trump to drop out of the race. The indictment shows the need for Trump to "end his campaign" said Hutchinson in a press release. While Donald Trump is entitled to the presumption of innocence, the ongoing criminal proceedings will be a major distraction. With the indictment, Trump became the first current or former president in American history to face federal criminal charges. Hutchinson is the first — and so far only — Republican candidate to call for Trump to end his campaign in light of the indictment.

Persons: Donald Trump's, Asa Hutchinson, Hutchinson, —, Donald Trump, weren't, Trump, MAGA, RealClearPolitics . Hutchinson Organizations: GOP, Trump, Service, Arkansas Gov, Republican Party, New York Times, Times, Department, New, Republican Locations: Arkansas, New York, RealClearPolitics .

☆ Mike Pence launches his 2024 GOP presidential bid
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-07 | by ( Jonathan Allen | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Former US Vice President Mike Pence speaks during a meet and greet event hosted by the Polk County Republicans in Des Moines, Iowa, US, on Tuesday, May 23, 2023. Photographer: Rachel Mummey/Bloomberg via Getty ImagesDES MOINES, Iowa — Former Vice President Mike Pence, who certified the 2020 election results under threat from supporters of then-President Donald Trump, kicked off a bid for the Oval Office on Wednesday. Turning more squarely toward the oft-spiteful Trump, Pence adds, "Today, our party and our country need a leader that will appeal, as Lincoln said, to the better angels of our nature." Some in the crowd, angry over his refusal to block the certification of the 2020 defeat of the Trump-Pence ticket, chanted, "Hang Mike Pence!" "Mike Pence is a true conservative and a great public servant," said Dan Eberhart, a GOP donor who backs DeSantis.

Persons: Mike Pence, Pence, Rachel Mummey, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Trump, Lincoln, Chris Christie, Doug Burgum, Iowa's, Ron DeSantis, DeSantis, Nikki Haley, —, Dan Eberhart, George W, Bush, Pence's, Mike Pence's Organizations: US, Polk, Republicans, Federal, Bloomberg, Getty, DES, Indiana, GOP, New, New Jersey Gov, North Dakota Gov, Florida Gov, Trump, Pence, Republican, Social Security, Medicare Locations: Des Moines , Iowa, Iowa, America, Des Moines, New Jersey, Indiana, Trump, Afghanistan, Iraq, Ukraine, Florida

☆ Mike Pence just officially filed to run for president in 2024, challenging Trump after dramatic January 6 fallout
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-05 | by ( Kimberly Leonard | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Former Vice President Mike Pence is runnning for president. Pence was loyal to Trump during most of his presidency, but stood up to him on January 6. By entering the race, Pence will officially challenge former President Donald Trump — a man he publicly stood by throughout his presidency, right up until Trump pressured him to subvert Joe Biden's 2020 election win. DeSantis has criticized Trump's response to the pandemic, though Trump handed the reins of the response to Pence during his tenure. Pence was deeply involved in the Trump administration, with his fingerprints especially visible on healthcare policy and on defending religious groups.

Persons: Mike Pence, He'll, Pence, —, Pence's, Donald Trump —, Trump, Joe Biden's, Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, Sen, Tim Scott of, Asa Hutchinson, Vivek Ramaswamy, Larry Elder, Ryan Binkley, Perry Johnson, Chris Christie, Doug Burgum, he'd, Wade, DeSantis, Alex Azar, Seema Verma Organizations: Trump, Service, Federal, Commission, Des, Des Moines Area Community College, CNN, Capitol, Florida Gov, DeSantis, GOP, Arkansas Gov, Former New Jersey Gov, North Dakota Gov, Pence, Republican, Indiana, Walt Disney Locations: Iowa, Des Moines, Tim Scott of South Carolina, Arkansas, Indiana, Roe, Florida, Indianapolis

☆ Chris Christie, Mike Pence, and Doug Burgum are all about to enter the GOP primary — and that's excellent news for Donald Trump
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-05 | by ( Jake Swearingen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

The primary is likely a contest between Trump supporters and those who want an alternative. And GOP primary voters know Trump's "brand." The GOP primary base appears to split into two even camps: Trump supporters and those looking for an alternative. Primary contenders not named Donald Trump will likely be fighting over the same group of moderate GOP supporters. As Michael Tesler of FiveThirtyEight points out, Trump now commands a majority of "very conservative" primary voters, despite losing those voters in 2016.

Persons: Chris Christie, Mike Pence, Doug Burgum, —, Donald Trump, Christie, Pence, Mitt Romney, Donna Brazile, Ron DeSantis, DeSantis, Michael Tesler, Trump Organizations: Trump, Service, Republican, New, New Jersey Gov, North Dakota Gov, GOP, CNN, Republican Party Locations: New Jersey, Manhattan

☆ Pro-DeSantis super PAC ad used Trump-era footage of migrants climbing a border fence to target Biden
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-03 | by ( Nicole Gaudiano | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

A super PAC supporting Ron DeSantis for president appeared to be targeting President Joe Biden in an ad. Ron DeSantis for president used a Trump-era video clip of migrants crossing a border fence in an ad that appeared to be targeting President Joe Biden. A screenshot from a pro-DeSantis super PAC's ad, showing migrants climbing a border fence. Screenshot of an Associated Press video from 2018 used in an ad by a pro-DeSantis super PAC that appears to be targeting Biden. DeSantis' and the super PAC were cited in a new complaint by the nonpartisan watchdog group Campaign Legal Center to the Federal Election Commission.

Persons: Ron DeSantis, Joe Biden, Trump, Biden, —, Donald Trump, DeSantis Organizations: Democratic, American, Service, Florida Gov, Associated Press, YouTube, CBP, DeSantis, US Customs, Border Protection, Trump, GOP, Federal, Commission, The Center Locations: Mexico, America, Central America

☆ Opinion | A Peek Behind the MAGA Curtain
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-02 | by ( David French | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +2 min

It is President Biden, not Trump, who mishandles classified documents. False narratives are often sustained by a few kernels of truth, and so it is in MAGA America. Moreover, not all of Trump’s opponents possess the cleanest of hands. Given these facts — and Thursday night’s peek at MAGA America — my colleague Frank Bruni’s warning to Democrats yesterday was timely and important: Democrats should not hope to face Trump in 2024. All too many Trump opponents — in both parties — have spent so long building their voluminous cases against him that they’ve forgotten how he looks to the other side.

Persons: Biden, Trump, he’s, Trump’s, isn’t, Hunter Biden, MAGA, MAGA America —, Frank Bruni’s, — Organizations: Trump, MAGA America, — Locations: Ukraine, Afghanistan, United States, MAGA America, Russia

[1/2] Former U.S. Vice President Mike Pence addresses the National Review Institute's 2023 Ideas Summit in Washington, U.S., March 31, 2023. Christie, who advised Trump's campaign in 2016 only to become a vocal critic of the former president, will formally announce his 2024 campaign on June 6, a person familiar with the matter said. The growing Republican field concerns many Trump opponents inside the Republican Party. Trump has a massive polling lead in a Republican field that now has more than 10 declared or almost-declared candidates. On Wednesday, Pence's polling average in the Republican field was less than 4%, compared to Trump's 53%, according to a RealClearPolitics average of polls.

Persons: Mike Pence, Kevin Lamarque, Chris Christie, Donald Trump, Christie, Trump's, Pence, Doug Burgum, Trump, Ron DeSantis, Tim Scott, Nikki Haley, Donald, Steve Holland, Joseph Ax, Tim Reid, Daniel Wallis Organizations: U.S, REUTERS, New, Reuters, North, Trump, Republican Party, Republican, Florida, Capitol, Christian, Saint Anselm College, Republicans, South Carolina, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, New Jersey, North Dakota, Iowa, New Hampshire

☆ Former US VP Mike Pence plans 2024 campaign launch next week
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-31 | by ( Steve Holland | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Pence will launch his campaign with a video and a speech in the early nominating state of Iowa, the sources said. On June 1, Pence's polling average in the Republican field was less than 4%, compared to Trump's 53%, according to a RealClearPolitics average of polls. Pence has continued to embrace many of Trump's policies, while portraying himself as an even-keeled and consensus-oriented alternative. The success of his campaign will hinge on whether he can attract enough backers of Trump's policies who are turned off by the former president's rhetoric and behavior to build a viable coalition. Reporting by Steve Holland; writing by Kanishka Singh and Tim Reid; editing by Tim Ahmann and Ross ColvinOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Mike Pence, Donald Trump's, Pence, Trump, Steve Holland, Kanishka Singh, Tim Reid, Tim Ahmann, Ross Colvin Organizations: Republican, Trump, U.S, Capitol, Christian, U.S . House, Thomson Locations: Iowa, Indiana, U.S

☆ Trump says he's 'pleased' to see Vivek Ramaswamy was even with Pence and ahead of Haley in a recent poll
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-05 | by ( Brent D. Griffiths | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The former president said he was "pleased" to see entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy doing so well. A political newcomer, Ramaswamy performed very well in a recent poll. "I am pleased to see that Vivek Ramaswamy is doing so well in the most recent Republican Primary Poll, CBS YouGov," Trump wrote on his social media platform, Truth Social. RealClearPolitics' more raw average has Ramaswamy in fifth behind DeSantis, Pence, and Haley respectively. In response to Trump's praise, Ramaswamy senior adviser Tricia McLaughlin told Insider, "We're 10 weeks in and just getting warmed up."

☆ Ex-Clinton pollster promoting DeSantis as a way to defeat Trump is 'dangerous,' Democratic group warns
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-01 | by ( Nicole Gaudiano | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

An ex-Clinton pollster boosted Ron DeSantis and dismissed Joe Biden as the way to defeat Donald Trump. Mark Penn's commentary is "significant" and "dangerous," on Democratic group, Third Way, warns. Ron DeSantis — and dismissal of President Joe Biden — as the way to defeat former President Donald Trump in 2024 is "significant" and "dangerous," one Democratic group warned on Monday. "There is nothing 'dangerous' in questioning whether Joe Biden can beat Donald Trump," he added. "If we do get to the Biden/Trump rematch, I will surely be writing 'How Joe Biden can beat Donald Trump,'" he wrote.

☆ Don’t Count Ron DeSantis Out
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-28 | by ( Mark Penn | ) www.wsj.com time to read: +1 min

Wonder Land: A beside-the-point president is the best thing that has ever happened to the progressive centralization project. Images: Warner Bros/Kobal/Shutterstock/AP/Zuma Press Composite: Mark KellyCan Ron DeSantis beat Donald Trump? When Mr. Trump was the challenger, he polished off Jeb Bush , the Florida governor who once led the pack. Mr. Trump leads Mr. Biden in the RealClearPolitics polling average. A Trump-Biden rematch is a risky proposition, and with the Democrats consolidated around Mr. Biden, the only way to avoid it is through the Republican primary.

☆ Trump, who was notably silent on recent Bud Light boycott, owns up to $5 million in Anheuser-Busch stock, records show
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-28 | by ( Joshua Zitser | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

After Bud Light partnered with transgender TikToker Dylan Mulvaney, right-wingers launched a boycott. But former President Donald Trump has been missing from the conversation. It turns out that he's an investor in Anheuser Busch InBev — the company that produces Bud Light. While the former president has been quiet about the Bud Light outrage, his son, Donald Trump Jr., has called for the boycott to end. Nikki Haley, a Republican presidential candidate, has repeatedly misgendered Mulvaney in speaking out against the Bud Light partnership.

☆ Republican staffers are ditching Trump to help DeSantis win. But Trump, despite being famously obsessed with loyalty, is likely to forgive anyone who comes crawling back to him as long as they 'bend t
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-30 | by ( Kelsey Vlamis | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Former Trump staffers have joined a pro-DeSantis super PAC as the primary season heats up. "It's a time for choosing," a source close to Trump told RealClearPolitics last week. "If you work for Ron DeSantis' presidential race, you will not work for the Trump campaign or in the Trump White House." "What Trump really likes is when someone bends the knee to him — when someone comes back with their tail between their legs and apologizes." "What is obvious is how much they really, really do not want him, not only to run, but to win.

☆ Trump campaign says that anyone who works for DeSantis will be blacklisted from ever getting a job with him, report says
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-25 | by ( Alia Shoaib | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Donald's Trump campaign plans to blacklist anyone who works for Ron DeSantis' book tour or presidential campaign. Ron DeSantis' book tour or for his possible presidential campaign, a report says. "If you work for Ron DeSantis' presidential race, you will not work for the Trump campaign or in the Trump White House." Trump has repeatedly claimed that DeSantis owes Trump his political career, citing an endorsement that helped him become governor in 2018. In recent days both Trump and DeSantis have ruled out the possibility of DeSantis ever being Trump's running mate.

[1/3] U.S. President Joe Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris stand on stage together after delivering remarks at the DNC 2023 Winter Meeting in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, U.S., February 3, 2023. Biden could lose crucial votes if he were to drop Harris, who is both the first Black and Asian-American U.S. vice president. While the vice president has disappointed some inside her party, Democrats see opportunity in the 2024 race. He leans on her a lot," said Cedric Richmond, a former congressman and former senior adviser in Biden's White House. "That was not her assignment," said the third former White House official, referring to reducing migrant crossings at the U.S.-Mexico border broadly.

☆ The State of the Union Contradiction
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-08 | by ( The Editorial Board | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

President Biden was set to devote much of his State of the Union address on Tuesday night to celebrating what he says is a long list of legislative and economic achievements—spending on social programs and public works, subsidies for computer chips, even more subsidies for green energy, and a strong labor market. But if he’s done so much for America, why does most of America not seem to appreciate it? That’s the contradiction stalking his Presidency as he enters his third year and plots a likely re-election campaign. His job approval rating average has climbed to 44.2% in the RealClearPolitics average, which should be better with all of that supposed good news. Mr. Biden’s RCP average job approval on the economy is 38%.

☆ Biden Bets It All on Republican Failure
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-19 | by ( Karl Rove | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

White House aides have been encouraging media coverage that credits President Biden with “a slew of legislative achievements” that give him “significant momentum” and leave him with “a stronger hand to play” in 2023. As he contemplates re-election, his approval rating has “surged” after the midterms. Not according to the RealClearPolitics average. It has Mr. Biden’s approval rising, but only from 42.1% Election Day to a little under 43% today. That’s a budge, not a surge, and 3 points lower than Donald Trump’s approval rating when he lost in 2020.

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